The Big Picture ~ Recessions and Bear Markets This year, the S&P 500 peaked on January 3rd at an all-time high of 4,796. Since then the index has dropped 4.6% through the end of March. This is a relatively modest… Read More
The Big Picture – Staying Invested We are strong adherents of the KISS (“keep it simple stupid”) philosophy when it comes to investing. Focus on a few things that matter: prudent asset allocation, quality of earnings and dividend growth, competitive… Read More
Investing, by definition, is a long-term endeavor. But investing for the long-term means staying focused through periods of short-term volatility, and frequently negative news flow. As the old saying in media goes, “if it bleeds, it leads”. Big down days… Read More
In 1994 a legendary wall street bond trader launched a new hedge fund with $1 billion in assets, recruiting several top traders, two future Nobel prize winners and several PhD’s from MIT. In its first three years the fund posted… Read More
The Covid19 induced recession of 2020 led to the strongest fiscal and monetary policy response in history. The stimulus was global in nature, and has likely set the world up for a significant boost to growth in the years to… Read More
Looking back over the last year reminds us why our 5th and final core investment principle is: “you cannot predict the future”. Hindsight analysis suggests the Federal Reserve induced liquidity, low interest rates, and massive fiscal stimulus were the reason… Read More
Perhaps no picture better represents the financial impact of Covid than that of the 10-year Treasury yield. While rates have remained below 3% for most of the last decade, the post Covid drop below 1% for the first time ever… Read More
AMM 3rd Quarter 2020 Client Letter Imagine a modern day Rip Van Winkle had imbibed a bit too much on New Year’s Eve 2019 and fell into a long 6 month slumber. He awakens to a strange new world. People… Read More
You make most of your money in a bear market; you just don’t realize it at the time. -Famed value investor Shelby Davis. The COVID19 induced market panic led to the quickest Bear Market (loosely defined as a drop of… Read More
AMM First Quarter 2020 Client Letter A few years ago we attended the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) Society’s annual forecast dinner in San Diego. Attendees were a group of mostly professional analysts charged each year with the task of predicting… Read More
As a new parent myself — my little girl is now 7 months old — I’ve been thinking a lot about the planning opportunities