We’re going to flip a coin one time. If the coin lands on heads then you win $200. But it the coin lands on tails you lose $100. Are you willing to play this game? If you’re like most people… Read More
A key component in the economic profit models I ran for Starbucks is the assumption that Starbucks will maintain a growth rate of 9% over the next 5-10 years. A common estimate I’ve seen in other research pieces. The question… Read More
[edit]: My original economic profit model had an error. It was overestimating future invested capital. I kept the original images of each economic profit model but added updated values below them. This also changes my conclusion about Starbucks being overvalued… Read More
We started buying Gilead Sciences over 1 year ago. Over a week ago we sold it. Our original thesis on Gilead was 5-fold: 1)